Florida's hurricane season is set to begin on Wednesday, leaving many outside the Sunshine State wondering what to expect.
The 2022 season will mark a "La Nina" year, when water temperatures are warmer than usual and less wind shear will be present to tear any storms apart. Any hurricane that passes over the loop current, a warm water current starting between Mexico's eastern Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba, could have its intensification process jump-started, turning a Category 1 or 2 storm into a Category 3, 4, or even 5 disaster, according to the South Florida-based Sun-Sentinel.
The loop current "really is the 800-pound gorilla" for weather forecasting, said Nick Shay, an ocean sciences professor at the University of Miami.
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The 21 name candidates this year for the Atlantic Coast hurricanes include Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle, Earl, Fiona, Gaston, and Hermine, with the Pacific Coast having 26 names, including Blas, Celia, Darby, Estelle, Frank, Georgette, Howard, Ivette, and Javier. If any hurricane becomes notable and leaves a massive amount of damage in its wake, such as Hurricane Katrina in 2005, a new name beginning with the same letter will replace the old one, according to the National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center.
Florida has a 75% chance of suffering a hurricane, while Louisiana, the second-likeliest to be hit, has odds of 56%. The two regions with the highest chance of getting hit by tropical activity are also in Florida, with the third being a region of the East Coast spanning from Charleston, South Carolina, to Kitty Hawk, North Carolina, or even as far north as Norfolk, Virginia.
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The Pacific Coast, which had its hurricane season begin on March 15, has already gotten a taste of this year's hurricane season thanks to the formation of Hurricane Agatha on Sunday. Leftovers of Agatha, which has a 60% chance of developing in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico over the next five days, could spell trouble for the Atlantic Coast if it drifts into the northwest Caribbean, nearer to Florida, by midweek.
People living along the Atlantic Coast, especially South Floridians, are encouraged to stock up on whatever supplies they might need now rather than waiting for a storm to form.