Heading to work this morning, I snapped a photo that encapsulates why Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke is going to lose his Texas Senate race against Sen. Ted Cruz.

Here's an Acura SUV that I spotted on Connecticut Ave in Washington, DC this morning with a Maryland license plate. On one side, it has a "Beto for Senate" bumper sticker and on the other side, it has a bumper sticker for "Cape Cod Sea Camps" in Massachusetts. (Note: I crossed out the license plate number.)

[WATCH: Trump holds rally for Ted Cruz in Houston, Texas]

Here's a close up view:

O'Rourke, a former punk rock guitarist who skateboards, has become a rock star on the Left, his challenge of Cruz generating interest from Washington to Hollywood, where he's racked up celebrity endorsements. He's setting records not only for fundraising, but for media profiles written about a Senate challenger. He's even generated buzz as a possible contender for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.

In the face of all of this national attention, he has trailed in every public poll, typically by comfortable margins. He's yet to crack 45 percent, because he's running a campaign for a state that does not exist. Instead, his campaign has appealed to out-of-state liberals, and the above photo is emblematic of his problem. He has a lot of support, but not enough of it is concentrated in the state where he's actually seeking office.